This year’s Wimbledon Championships turned out almost exactly as we forecast, with Iga Swiatek (+1100) winning the women’s draw, and Jannik Sinner (+150) meeting Carlos Alcaraz (+160) in the men’s final. What we didn’t expect was for Alcaraz to run out of gas and lose somewhat meekly in four sets—a far cry from his epic five-set victory over Sinner at Roland Garros.
There’s a very good chance that we’ll see these same two men meet at the 2025 US Open. But the women’s title is once again up in the air – and there’s a new Canadian force to be reckoned with as well. We’ll tell you all about it in our exclusive Bodog Sportsbook US Open betting preview.While Sinner (EVEN) and Alcaraz (+175) remain the top two favourites for the men’s draw, the gap between the two on the US Open odds board has grown significantly. This is partly because of Sinner’s triumph at Wimbledon, and partly because they’ll be playing on the hard courts at USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, where Sinner prevailed in last year’s final over Taylor Fritz. Alcaraz hasn’t won here since claiming his first tennis major in 2022.
As usual these days, Novak Djokovic finds himself in fourth place on the tennis odds at +1400, and he’ll be hard-pressed to win that elusive 25th major. The last time Djokovic tasted victory was right here in Flushing at the 2023 US Open. He’s 38 now and hasn’t played since Wimbledon as he tries to recover from a nagging thigh/leg injury.
On the women’s side, Swiatek may have won it all at Wimbledon, but she’s still No. 3 on the WTA rankings at press time – and second on Bodog’s US Open odds list at +325 behind No. 1-ranked Aryna Sabalenka (+260). No. 2 Coco Gauff is the third favourite at +700.
Swiatek was given a one-month suspension for a banned substance in November 2024, so she’s still trying to catch up on points with Sabalenka, the reigning US Open champion. Winning at Wimbledon should dispel the myth that Swiatek is a clay-court specialist, but the four-time French Open champ has to prove herself once again versus Sabalenka, while Gauff is yet another former US Open winner from 2023 with a heavy serve and impressive court coverage.
When we introduced 18-year-old Burlington, Ontario native Victoria Mboko in our 2025 Wimbledon preview, she was ranked No. 96 in the world. Now she’s Canada’s newest tennis sensation. Mboko moved all the way up to No. 24 after downing Gauff, Elena Rybakina and Naomi Osaka to win the Canadian Open in Montreal. Rybakina was the 2022 Wimbledon champion; Osaka won the US Open in 2018 and 2020, and the Australian Open in 2019 and 2021.
Despite that victory, Mboko finds herself in ninth place on this year’s US Open odds list at +2500, behind Rybakina (+850) and Osaka (+1600). But at least she’s ahead of fellow Canadians Leylah Fernandez (+6600), the 2021 US Open finalist, and Bianca Andreescu (+8000), who’s still hoping to recover the health and form that saw her beat Serena Williams to win both the 2019 Canadian Open and US Open in succession.
As for the men’s draw, you have the usual suspects in Felix Auger-Aliassime (+10000) and Denis Shapovalov (+20000) waiting in the weeds. It’s possible one of these all-around players will break through this year, but Auger-Aliassime has enjoyed most of his success on indoor hard courts, while Shapovalov still needs to cut down on his unforced errors.
This tournament has a much older history stretching back to 1881, but between the rise of the Open Era and the switch to hard courts in 1978, we tend to forget the record eight US Open wins by Molla Bjurstedt Mallory, or the seven men’s titles each from Bill Tilden, Richard Sears and William Larned. But thanks to the extra focus on American players, Jimmy Connors and Pete Sampras are still warmly remembered for their five victories apiece, tying Roger Federer for top spot during the men’s Open Era. Sampras playing his last-ever match and defeating rival Andre Agassi at the 2002 US Open final was particularly memorable.
In recent years, the US Open has become more famous for producing so many different winners – especially on the women’s side, where Osaka is the only multiple champion since Williams bagged her sixth and last title in 2014, matching Chris Evert for the Open Era record. Aside from Andreescu’s victory in 2019, today’s tennis fans might remember Osaka coming from virtually nowhere to upset Williams at the 2018 Final. Or you might be old enough to recall Williams winning her first Grand Slam event in 1999 at the tender age of 17.
As poorly as things went for Alcaraz at the Wimbledon final, he might have the advantage over Sinner when it comes to health. Sinner was forced to retire from their finals matchup at the Cincinnati Open this past Monday with an undisclosed illness, after falling behind 5-0 to Alcaraz in their opening set. We’re still trying to figure out at press time what that illness is, and what effect it might have on Sinner at the US Open when the main draw begins this Sunday.
On the women’s side, we’re still bullish on Swiatek’s chances despite the change in venue. Sabalenka is coming off a quarterfinal loss to Rybakina in Cincinnati, while Swiatek won the whole tournament without dropping a set. If you’re looking for a larger payout, Gauff is a compelling choice at +700, but you’re also taking on the added risk that comes with Gauff’s occasionally wayward serve. Is Mboko the best value on Bodog Sportsbook’s US Open odds list at +2500? Bet accordingly, and we’ll see you at Flushing Meadows.